Friday, March 31, 2023

Why China Can’t Conquer the Small Island of Taiwan

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Despite military superiority

Why China Can’t Conquer the Small Island of Taiwan

Since the split between China and Taiwan in 1949, Beijing has viewed the island as a breakaway territory that it wants to reunite with the mainland – if necessary using military force. But that shouldn’t be that easy.


Taiwan’s military is rehearsing for emergencies. China keeps threatening to attack.

An invasion of Taiwan would probably not end in victory for China – and result in significant losses for all warring factions.

That is the conclusion of a report published on Monday by the Center for International and Strategic Studies (CSIS) in Washington. According to the report, which is based on 24 war simulations conducted, if China attacks, Taiwan “would remain democratic and independent in most scenarios.” However, the price to be paid would be enormous for all the states involved.

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